Dive into the reasons why Nassir Little's combined Points, Assists, and Rebounds (PRA) will likely stay under the 22.5 line in the upcoming NBA clash between the Portland Trail Blazers and Sacramento Kings.
Before you throw your money down on the over for Nassir Little combined Points, Assists, and Rebounds (PRA) in the upcoming game against the Sacramento Kings, let's take a deep dive into the stats and trends that suggest the under 22.5 is the smarter play.
First and foremost, let's address Little's season averages. Across the board, he's putting up 10.19 PRA, with a slightly better 10.71 PRA at home and a slightly worse 9.58 PRA on the road. Those numbers alone should be cause for pause when considering the over on a 22.5 PRA line. Sure, Little has had his moments, but those season averages are hard to ignore.
Zoom in a bit further, and we can see that Little has surpassed the 22.5 PRA line in just two games this season, while staying under in 50 games. That's a whopping 96% of his games where he's failed to hit that magic number. Although he's been trending upward in recent games, it's important to remember that the majority of his performances have landed below the line.
In the last 20 games, Little has averaged 12.4 PRA and has had more than 22.5 PRA in only two games. Narrowing down to the last 10 games, he's averaged 11.7 PRA and exceeded 22.5 PRA in just one game. Even in his last five games, where he's averaged 11.6 PRA, he's only managed to hit over 22.5 PRA once. Despite the uptick in his recent performances, the stats don't lie – Little's PRA consistently falls short of the 22.5 mark.
Now let's take a look at his matchups against the Sacramento Kings. In the two games he's faced them, Little has averaged 17.0 PRA – a solid performance, but still well below the 22.5 line. The Kings have also been particularly stingy on defense, allowing just 7.9 second-chance points per game on the road since the All-Star break – the best mark in the NBA. This defensive prowess could spell trouble for Little's chances of hitting the over.
While it's true that the Trail Blazers have been struggling lately, losing nine of their last 10 games and dealing with injuries to key players like Damian Lillard, Jusuf Nurkic, and Anfernee Simons, it's important to keep a level head when analyzing individual player performances. Little may be getting more opportunities on the court due to these injuries, but the overall context of the team's performance and his historical stats paint a clear picture: the under 22.5 is the more likely outcome for Little's PRA in the upcoming game against the Kings.
Pick #1 - Nassir Little u22.5 PRA - available on Fanduel @ -108
Dive into the reasons why Nassir Little's combined Points, Assists, and Rebounds (PRA) will likely stay under the 22.5 line in the upcoming NBA clash between the Portland Trail Blazers and Sacramento Kings.
Before you throw your money down on the over for Nassir Little combined Points, Assists, and Rebounds (PRA) in the upcoming game against the Sacramento Kings, let's take a deep dive into the stats and trends that suggest the under 22.5 is the smarter play.
First and foremost, let's address Little's season averages. Across the board, he's putting up 10.19 PRA, with a slightly better 10.71 PRA at home and a slightly worse 9.58 PRA on the road. Those numbers alone should be cause for pause when considering the over on a 22.5 PRA line. Sure, Little has had his moments, but those season averages are hard to ignore.
Zoom in a bit further, and we can see that Little has surpassed the 22.5 PRA line in just two games this season, while staying under in 50 games. That's a whopping 96% of his games where he's failed to hit that magic number. Although he's been trending upward in recent games, it's important to remember that the majority of his performances have landed below the line.
In the last 20 games, Little has averaged 12.4 PRA and has had more than 22.5 PRA in only two games. Narrowing down to the last 10 games, he's averaged 11.7 PRA and exceeded 22.5 PRA in just one game. Even in his last five games, where he's averaged 11.6 PRA, he's only managed to hit over 22.5 PRA once. Despite the uptick in his recent performances, the stats don't lie – Little's PRA consistently falls short of the 22.5 mark.
Now let's take a look at his matchups against the Sacramento Kings. In the two games he's faced them, Little has averaged 17.0 PRA – a solid performance, but still well below the 22.5 line. The Kings have also been particularly stingy on defense, allowing just 7.9 second-chance points per game on the road since the All-Star break – the best mark in the NBA. This defensive prowess could spell trouble for Little's chances of hitting the over.
While it's true that the Trail Blazers have been struggling lately, losing nine of their last 10 games and dealing with injuries to key players like Damian Lillard, Jusuf Nurkic, and Anfernee Simons, it's important to keep a level head when analyzing individual player performances. Little may be getting more opportunities on the court due to these injuries, but the overall context of the team's performance and his historical stats paint a clear picture: the under 22.5 is the more likely outcome for Little's PRA in the upcoming game against the Kings.
Pick #1 - Nassir Little u22.5 PRA - available on Fanduel @ -108
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