Pick #1 Pascal Siakam (TOR) o4.5 Assists (-140)

First things first, let's look at Siakam's season averages. The man's been dishing out 5.92 assists per game this season, with a very consistent 5.88 assists at home and 5.97 on the road. In 48 games this season, he's had more than 4.5 assists, while in only 17 games has he had less than 4.5. Already, we're liking those odds.

Over the last 20 games, Siakam has been averaging 5.4 assists, with more than 4.5 assists in 14 of those games. In the last 10 games, he's kept that 5.4 average and has had more than 4.5 assists in 6 games. Now, this is where things start to get interesting. Over the last 5 games, Siakam's assist average has shot up to 6.2, with more than 4.5 assists in 4 of those games. While he may have been trending down over the last 10 games, the recent uptick in his last 5 games shows that Siakam is finding his groove again.

In the two games against Miami this season, Siakam has been absolutely crushing it with an average of 7.5 assists. That's right – against the Heat, he's been serving up dimes like they're going out of style. This is the kind of matchup-specific data that can really make a difference when it comes to placing your bets.