Pat Bev's Rebound prop is too low tonight. Currently it sits at 4.5 (-120) on FanDuel.
There's a couple reasons that Pat Bev's Rebound prop has so much value tonight.
Pat Bev has been a very effective rebounder since joining Chicago. In the last 10 games, he has found 5+ rebounds in 7 of them. He reached double-digit rebounds in 3 of those 7 games. This gives us a some ladder potential for his Rebounds alternate lines.
He is averaging about 6 rebounds per game since joining Chicago, but many of these games were against actually pretty brutal matchups. In the last 11 games, he has faced Philadelphia twice, Houston, Toronto, Denver, and Indiana. All of those teams rank in the top 10 fewest Rebounds allowed to PG (HOU, TOR, PHI all being in the top 5).
So, he still managed to average 1.5 rebounds above the current prop line, even though 6 of his last 11 games were against top tier rebounding teams at the guard position. So we shouldn't be worried about this line.
If you are indeed still worried, perhaps because of the minutes factor, you'll be happy to know that Portland ranks LAST in the NBA in Rebounds allowed to Point Guards. So even if Beverly plays sub-20 minutes, he still has a great chance of bringing in 5+ rebounds.
Furthermore, as I'm writing this, Lillard and Nurkic both got downgraded for Portland. This is amazing news for us. With Lillard out, that means more missed shots and less rebounds from the guard position. With Nurkic out, that means far less rebounding in general, giving Bev more opportunities.
We'll see how these status changes effect this line. But if possible, go grab Pat Bev right now.
My Pick: Pat Bev o4.5 REB (-120) FanDuel
Follow me on Twitter! @TWBets_
Twanner22
Pat Bev's Rebound prop is too low tonight. Currently it sits at 4.5 (-120) on FanDuel.
There's a couple reasons that Pat Bev's Rebound prop has so much value tonight.
Pat Bev has been a very effective rebounder since joining Chicago. In the last 10 games, he has found 5+ rebounds in 7 of them. He reached double-digit rebounds in 3 of those 7 games. This gives us a some ladder potential for his Rebounds alternate lines.
He is averaging about 6 rebounds per game since joining Chicago, but many of these games were against actually pretty brutal matchups. In the last 11 games, he has faced Philadelphia twice, Houston, Toronto, Denver, and Indiana. All of those teams rank in the top 10 fewest Rebounds allowed to PG (HOU, TOR, PHI all being in the top 5).
So, he still managed to average 1.5 rebounds above the current prop line, even though 6 of his last 11 games were against top tier rebounding teams at the guard position. So we shouldn't be worried about this line.
If you are indeed still worried, perhaps because of the minutes factor, you'll be happy to know that Portland ranks LAST in the NBA in Rebounds allowed to Point Guards. So even if Beverly plays sub-20 minutes, he still has a great chance of bringing in 5+ rebounds.
Furthermore, as I'm writing this, Lillard and Nurkic both got downgraded for Portland. This is amazing news for us. With Lillard out, that means more missed shots and less rebounds from the guard position. With Nurkic out, that means far less rebounding in general, giving Bev more opportunities.
We'll see how these status changes effect this line. But if possible, go grab Pat Bev right now.
My Pick: Pat Bev o4.5 REB (-120) FanDuel
Follow me on Twitter! @TWBets_
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