Pick 5: Monte Morris PRA Under 22.5 (-120)

There's a strong case to be made for betting the under on Monte Morris' combined points, assists, and rebounds at 22.5 in the upcoming clash between the Washington Wizards and San Antonio Spurs.

As the NBA season continues to heat up, our eyes are on the Washington Wizards and San Antonio Spurs matchup, where Monte Morris is in the spotlight. Morris, the childhood best friend of rising star Kyle Kuzma, is a key player to watch in this game. But, after crunching the numbers and diving into the data, we're siding with the under for Morris' combined points, rebounds, and assists at 22.5.

First, let's take a look at Morris' season averages. He's currently putting up 18.86 points, assists, and rebounds per game. Breaking it down further, he's averaging 19.0 PRA at home and 18.75 PRA on the road. With the Wizards facing off against the Spurs, it's essential to keep these stats in mind when placing your bets.

In games where Morris has gone over 22.5 PRA, he's only managed to do it in 15 games out of 59. That's a 25% success rate, which doesn't bode well for those looking to bet the over in this matchup. On the flip side, he's fallen short of the 22.5 PRA mark in 44 games, giving the under a 75% success rate this season.

Recent trends also support our choice to bet the under. Over the last 20 games, Morris is averaging 18.25 PRA, and he's only gone over 22.5 PRA in 4 of those games. In the last 10 games, his average dips slightly to 17.3 PRA, with just 2 games where he surpassed the 22.5 PRA threshold. The last 5 games show a similar story, with Morris averaging 18.6 PRA and going over 22.5 PRA in only 2 games.

Moreover, Morris' performance in his only game against San Antonio this season is another critical data point. In that matchup, he managed 17.0 PRA, falling well short of the 22.5 mark that we're analyzing today.

Based on these statistics, it's clear that Monte Morris is trending downward in terms of his combined points, assists, and rebounds production. With a below-average showing against the Spurs earlier in the season and a recent decline in his overall production, the under seems like a solid bet for this particular player prop.

Of course, nothing in sports betting is ever a certainty, and we wouldn't be doing our due diligence if we didn't acknowledge that Morris has the potential to have a big game. He's shown flashes of brilliance throughout the season, and it's always possible that he could turn in a standout performance against the Spurs.

However, when we look at the larger sample size and consider Morris' recent trends, it's tough to ignore the overwhelming data pointing towards the under on his 22.5 PRA line. With a 75% success rate for the under throughout the season and a downward trend in his recent games, we're confident in our decision to bet the under for Monte Morris' combined points, rebounds, and assists in the Wizards vs. Spurs showdown.

So, if you're looking to place a wager on this NBA matchup, consider taking the under on Monte Morris' 22.5 PRA line. The stats and trends are in your favor, and it could pay off big time when the final buzzer sounds.