As Utah faces Milwaukee in their upcoming NBA clash, we're betting on Walker Kessler's rebound tally to fall short of the 10.5 line, and here's why.

The NBA season has been a wild ride for Utah's Walker Kessler, with his rebound stats fluctuating more than a heart rate monitor during a buzzer-beater. As we approach the showdown between Utah and Milwaukee, our eyes are on Kessler and the under on his 10.5 rebounds line. While the big man has shown impressive numbers recently, there's plenty of reasons to believe he won't be snagging boards like a madman in this matchup.

First, let's talk about Kessler's overall rebounding performance this season. He's averaging 8.32 rebounds per game, which is nothing to scoff at. However, when you break it down by home and away games, there's a noticeable difference. Kessler's home rebounding average sits at a solid 9.32, while on the road, it dips to 7.32. 

Now, let's zoom in on Kessler's most recent performances. Over the last 20 games, he's been averaging 10.95 rebounds per game, with 10 of those games seeing him pull down more than 10.5 rebounds. In his last 10 games, he's averaging 11 rebounds, grabbing more than 10.5 boards in 5 of those matchups. While these stats might have some bettors leaning towards the over, we're not sold just yet.

Over Kessler's last 5 games, he's averaging 10.4 rebounds, with only 2 of those contests featuring him snagging more than 10.5 boards.

But wait, there's more! The cherry on top of this under sundae is Kessler's lone performance against Milwaukee this season. In that matchup, Kessler was held to a measly 3 rebounds. Sure, it's just one game, but it's a pretty telling stat when you consider the overall context. Milwaukee's defensive prowess seem to be a recipe for fewer rebounds than the over/under line suggests.

Now, we're not here to throw shade at Kessler. He's undoubtedly a talented player with a bright future in the league. But as avid sports bettors and data-driven analysts, we're all about spotting trends and capitalizing on them. And in this case, the numbers are pointing us towards the under on Kessler's rebound total against Milwaukee.

So, to all our fellow bettors out there, we're rolling with the under on Walker Kessler's 10.5 rebounds line in the Utah vs. Milwaukee matchup. With his recent trend of covering the under, his road game rebounding average, and his previous performance against Milwaukee, we believe there's a strong case to be made for this play.

As always, remember that there are no guarantees in sports betting. But when the numbers align like they do in this case, it's hard not to feel confident in our pick. So buckle up, and let's ride the under on Walker Kessler's rebound rollercoaster together.