Lock It In: Hornets vs. Pelicans (NBA)
Pick #6: OVER 31.5 Points, Rebounds, Assists (PRAs) for C. J. McCollum (-125) BetMGM
Big Easy Money
The New Orleans Pelicans are among those many Western Conference clubs duking it out down the home stretch for a spot in the play-in tournament, currently a half-game back of 10th place and just two games out of sixth.
Tonight’s non-conference clash with the Charlotte Hornets sets up well for the Pelicans’ plans, laying eight points with a taller team total of 117.5. That’s calling for a significant uptick in offensive possessions for the Pels, and potentially a busy night for guard CJ McCollum.
McCollum is averaging just over 21 points, 5.6 rebounds and 6.3 assists per game this month, and faces a combo prop for points + assists + rebounds at 31.5 (Over -125) for tonight’s game.
Even with McCollum’s points production dipping a bit over the past four games — scores of 15, 26, 14, and 13 — he’s still very active in the offense with a total of 24 assists in that span. I have his projected points + assists at 28.7, but rebounding is the real kicker for this player prop.
Charlotte has been horrendous on offense in March, owning a league-low offensive rating as well as a bottom-dwelling effective field goal rate of 50.2%. On top of all those misses, the Hornets rank out 25th in rebound rate (47.9%) in that span.
The Pelicans are among the better defensive teams in the NBA, owning the fifth-best advanced rating this month (No. 8 overall on the season) while hitting the boards hard at No. 8 in rebound rate (50.8%).
The 6-foot-3 McCollum is not afraid to mix it up on the glass, upping his average to 5.6 rebounds in March versus 4.3 before this month. He’s snatched eight rebounds against another lackluster offense in San Antonio on Tuesday.
When you add it all up, I have McCollum going for a total of 34.6 points + rebounds + assists, which gives us plenty of head room with his prop total as low as 31.5 and up to 32.5 on the high end tonight. He’s only topped this combo prop once in the last four games, but is 6-4 O/U in this market in March and gets a great matchup tonight.
Pick #6: OVER 31.5 Points, Rebounds, Assists (PRAs) for C. J. McCollum (-125) BetMGM
Big Easy Money
The New Orleans Pelicans are among those many Western Conference clubs duking it out down the home stretch for a spot in the play-in tournament, currently a half-game back of 10th place and just two games out of sixth.
Tonight’s non-conference clash with the Charlotte Hornets sets up well for the Pelicans’ plans, laying eight points with a taller team total of 117.5. That’s calling for a significant uptick in offensive possessions for the Pels, and potentially a busy night for guard CJ McCollum.
McCollum is averaging just over 21 points, 5.6 rebounds and 6.3 assists per game this month, and faces a combo prop for points + assists + rebounds at 31.5 (Over -125) for tonight’s game.
Even with McCollum’s points production dipping a bit over the past four games — scores of 15, 26, 14, and 13 — he’s still very active in the offense with a total of 24 assists in that span. I have his projected points + assists at 28.7, but rebounding is the real kicker for this player prop.
Charlotte has been horrendous on offense in March, owning a league-low offensive rating as well as a bottom-dwelling effective field goal rate of 50.2%. On top of all those misses, the Hornets rank out 25th in rebound rate (47.9%) in that span.
The Pelicans are among the better defensive teams in the NBA, owning the fifth-best advanced rating this month (No. 8 overall on the season) while hitting the boards hard at No. 8 in rebound rate (50.8%).
The 6-foot-3 McCollum is not afraid to mix it up on the glass, upping his average to 5.6 rebounds in March versus 4.3 before this month. He’s snatched eight rebounds against another lackluster offense in San Antonio on Tuesday.
When you add it all up, I have McCollum going for a total of 34.6 points + rebounds + assists, which gives us plenty of head room with his prop total as low as 31.5 and up to 32.5 on the high end tonight. He’s only topped this combo prop once in the last four games, but is 6-4 O/U in this market in March and gets a great matchup tonight.
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