Despite averaging 25.24 points and rebounds at home and 22.38 points and rebounds on the road this season, Alperen Sengun's recent downward trend suggests it is unlikely he will make 27.5 points and rebounds in his game against Portland.

With the NBA playoffs fast approaching, the Houston Rockets are counting on Alperen Sengun to produce. This season, Sengun has averaged 25.24 points and rebounds at home, and 22.38 points and rebounds on the road. He has had more than 27.5 points and rebounds in only 12 games. In the last 20 games, his average has dropped to 25.25 points and rebounds, with more than 27.5 points and rebounds in 6 of them. Over his last 10 and 5 games, his averages have decreased further to 20.3 and 19.8 points and rebounds respectively, with none of those games having more than 27.5 points and rebounds. 

In two games against Portland this season, Sengun has scored 12.0 points and rebounds. This, coupled with the Trail Blazers' strong defense (averaging 104.3 points per game this season - the third-lowest mark in the league) and the Rockets' offensive struggles (scoring fewer than 100 points in their last three games and shooting below 38% in each of those games) suggest that it is unlikely that Sengun will make 27.5 points and rebounds in this game. While Sengun is capable of having a great game and surpassing this mark, the evidence suggests that the safe bet is to go with the under.