Due to recent trades, injuries, and a 8-2 disadvantage in the last 10 matchups, the San Antonio Spurs vs Detroit Pistons look like a great bet to go under 235.5 total points. 

The San Antonio Spurs have endured a difficult start to the 2023 season, winning just two of their last 20 games and enduring a 10-game losing streak. Their road record is similarly unimpressive, with only five wins in 25 away games. Detroit isn't much better averaging 109.3 points per game over their last 10 and with 100 or less points in 3 straight games. 

The Spurs have a notable edge in head-to-head meetings, having won 7 of the last 10, and covering the spread in 5 of the last 6 matchups. Keldon Johnson is the Spurs' top scorer with 21.7 points per game, while Devin Vassell is out with a knee injury.

 The Pistons have acquired James Wiseman from the Golden State Warriors and Bojan Bogdanovic will remain with the Pistons, but dealt saddiq bey to Atlanta.  Saddiq bey over the last 10 games had been averaging 17.9 points per game, which was one of the highest on the team. Even if wiseman is able to make his piston Debut today he will likely only give them 15 points max. 

The present state of both teams suggests this game will be low scoring. The Spurs and Pistons have both scored under 100 points in their last games, so they will have to adjust their approach and score more against some of the worst defenses in the NBA. 

The last 10 matchups between these two teams has gone under 235.5 points in 8 of them. I don't necessarily think there will be good defense tonight, more just bad offense as both teams fight to figure out their identities with their new teammates.