Pick 7: Ben Simmons Under 7.5 Points -140 (Fanduel)

With Ben Simmons averaging just 7.2 points per game it's unlikely that he can do it against the Bulls, the 7th best team against Point Guards scoring this season.

Ben Simmons' return to the court after missing five games was not a success. Despite battling through a twisted ankle, Simmons was moving slowly throughout the game. He suffered the injury while defending the Suns' Deandre Ayton, and the swelling is still present.

Simmons attributed the knee soreness that he experienced earlier in the season to the back surgery he underwent during the off-season to repair a herniated disk, which kept him out of the entire 2021-22 season.

"Back surgery is no small matter, so it takes time. Back surgery affects your whole body. Your knees. It's something I have to stay on top of. I said that from the start. There will be ups and downs. I'm not going to be the same player I was a few years ago; it's going to take some time to get back," Simmons told reporters.

Unfortunately, the numbers suggest that Simmons is still a long way from his former self. He's averaging 7.2 points per game this season, but his home and road stats tell a different story. At home, he's averaging 6.0 points, and on the road, he's averaging 8.04 points. Of the 38 games he's played, he's had more than 7.5 points in 14 games and less than 7.5 points in 24 games. Over the last 20 games, he's averaging 6.35 points with more than 7.5 points in seven games. Over the last 10 games, he's averaging 5.4 points with more than 7.5 points in two games. Over the last five games, he's averaging 5.4 points with more than 7.5 points in one game. This data shows that Simmons is trending down in terms of points per game.

Moreover, the Bulls are the 7th best team against Point Guards this season, and Simmons has only scored more than 7.5 points in two of his last 10 games against them. In his last game against the Bulls, he scored 7 points. Taking all this into account, it's unlikely that Simmons will be able to score more than 7.5 points against the Bulls.

Head coach Jacque Vaughn has expressed his wish for all players to be available for every game, but he's focused on having everyone in peak condition for the playoffs. Simmons has committed to staying on top of his injury recovery, but his knee is still an issue.

Given Simmons' current form and the Bulls' proven defense against Point Guards, it's unlikely that Simmons will be able to score more than 7.5 points against them. Therefore, if you're looking to make a bet, it's best to go for the under 7.5 points for Ben Simmons.