Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets

Pick: D’Angelo Russell Over 2.5 Three-Pointers Made

Tipoff: 8:00 P.M. EST

I am betting on D'Angelo Russell to make over 2.5 three-pointers for several reasons. The Rockets rank last in the NBA in three-pointers allowed and 24th in three-point percentage against, making this a very favorable matchup for Russell.

In the past 2 games against the Rockets without Towns, Russell has made 4 three-pointers in each game, and has hit over 2.5 three-pointers in 4 of his last 5 games, and hits the over 54% of the time in the absence of Towns this season. 

Furthermore,  Rudy Gobert is questionable. If Gobert is out, Russell's chances of hitting over 2.5 three-pointers are made even greater, as he hits this over 67% of the time when both Towns and Gobert are absent. Additionally, in his last 20 away games without Towns, he has hit over 2.5 three pointers made in 83% of those games. 

Overall, I think the combination of Russell's recent performance, the Rockets' poor three-point defense, Russell’s consistency to hit threes away from home, and the absence of Towns and possibly Gobert, make this a promising bet.