Only a couple more days until the New Year, but definitely still time to end the year on a winning streak, so let’s do that!

Bet: 1u Martin Necas over 2.5 Shots on Goal -129 BetRivers

Really liking the value that we are getting here with Necas as his line is mostly over 3.5 at plus money at other books.  Willing to take the juice here for one less shot, but let’s break down why.

First off, Necas has been tremendous this season for the Hurricanes.  He is leading the team in points and shots on goal this season, averaging 3.57 shots per game and has hit this line in 26 of his 35 games played.  He has been just as consistent at home, hitting 73% while averaging 3.9 shots per game.

Tonight, Necas and the Hurricanes take on the Florida Panthers.  Over their last 10 road games, the Panthers are allowing 32.5 shots per game, right above league average.  When breaking down the position-by-position data we can see a definite advantage here for Necas.  15 of the last 17 Wingers to get 18 or more minutes of ice time have had 3+ shots on goal vs the Panthers.