Pick 4: Burnley over 1.5 goals (1.83)

Risk 1.5u

Vincent Kompany's men are on absolute tear in English Championship as they're holding leader spot with 47 points, with +22 GD. Their main threat are Sheffield United, who also banked 47 points, but have +20 GD.

Kompany and Co. are absolutely aware of the impact this match will have, and winning this one is a huge confidence booster in their Championship campaign. 

Burnley won 5 straight at home, and they didn't lose 12 matches on their Turf Moor. They're also on a great scoring run, as they score 14 goals in last 5 matches!

Visitors are currently at 14th place, and their run for EPL is not yet over, as they're only 3 points away from 5th place (Yes, Championship is THAT competitive). I wouldn't be surprised if they actually did make it to the play-offs.

However, their defense lately has not been up to the task, despite Birmingham's decent performances in last 5 matches. They have conceded 2+ goals in 4 out of last 5 matches! And those goals came against teams that are not on Burnley's level.

Their H2H has always been a thriller producing goals, and I don't think we'll see any difference today.