Pick 4: Kevin Fiala over 2.5 shots on goal (-168)

We missed Caufield yesterday by 1 shot and took our first loss of the week as the Canadians won but didn't look good offensively generating fewer than 30 shots against a bad AZ team. 

Look to get back on the winning side today with Kevin Fiala over 2.5 SOG. Anaheim is giving up a lot of shots on the road, ~24% above expected so there is good reason to believe the Kings will get a lot of chances.  They are also nearly 3 dollar favorites so they are expected to score goals and take shots and I like Fiala to get over his total. 

Fiala has been taking a lot more shots lately going over this total in his last 3 games, averaging over 4 SOG during that stretch.  I don't expect 5 or 6 shots tonight but I think 3-4 is reasonable and there's enough value to take Fiala over 2.5 SOG at -168.